In order to better prepare for an uncertain future, decision-makers and practitioners rely on tools like indexes and models for risk analysis. Humanitarian agencies and crisis respondents use forecasting for early warning, emergency response and contingency planning. For instance, the Index for Risk Management (INFORM) – an international collaborative project by the Inter-Agency Standing Committee and the European Commission – is a global and open-source risk assessment for humanitarian crises and disasters that helps different actors to identify potential risks and take evidence-based decisions about ways to reduce them.
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