EPRS Admin By / October 7, 2021

EU car fleet projected development

EU car fleet projected development with policies geared to climate targets

EU car fleet projected development with policies geared to climate targets

With policies in place to achieve the emissions reductions set out in the climate target plan, the models suggests that in 2030, zero- and low-emission cars could account for 20 % of the overall car fleet, but market penetration would increase rapidly after that. In 2050, the car fleet would mainly consist of zero- and low-emission vehicles (ZLEVs), mostly battery electric vehicles (about 77 %), plug-in hybrid vehicles (about 5 %) and fuel cell electric vehicles (about 17 %).


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