Summary of EU-Ukraine 2035 scenarios

Table 2 below shows the summary grid of all four scenarios. It contains very short indications of each scenario along the 10 selected points. This is followed by four succinct descriptions of each scenario. Although all scenarios point to possible futures and are, in that sense, equal to each other, they are obviously not equally desirable. From an EU perspective, the two scenarios above the X-axis (Fair Stability and Cold War II) are more desirable, because they show strong internal EU cohesion, whereas the two scenarios below the X-axis show a disunited and ineffective EU. The Fair Stability scenario represents the outcome that is most desirable from both an EU and Ukrainian point of view.