EPRS Strategy By / February 16, 2015

EU-Russia relations [What Think Tanks are thinking]

Written by Marcin Grajewski Relations between the European Union and Russia are at their worst since the end of the…

Image Copyright ruskpp, 2012. Used under license from Shutterstock.com.
Written by Marcin Grajewski
EU-Russia flags
Image Copyright ruskpp, 2012.
Used under license from Shutterstock.com.

Relations between the European Union and Russia are at their worst since the end of the Cold War, mainly due to Moscow’s annexation of Crimea and support for rebels in eastern Ukraine. Most think tanks analysing EU-Russia relations and the situation in Eastern Europe are deeply worried about security in Europe and the potential economic impact of the crisis. They largely agree that hopes to establish a strategic partnership between the EU and Russia have faded. The conflict in Ukraine is seen as taking relations back to the Cold War era, posing the threat of a financial crisis in Russia and exacerbating the economic situation in the EU.

A selection of commentaries and analyses by major international think tanks, together with related publications, are listed below, with hyperlinks to the texts concerned:

Commentaries by think tanks

Russia’s war in Ukraine: Is Minsk the end, or just the start?

Centre for European Reform (CER), February 13, 2015

From a Munich in Moscow to a Munich in Minsk: How Europe has come to Putin’s aid

Institute of Modern Russia, February 13, 2015

Minsk II: Will it meet a better fate than Minsk I? Brookings Institution, February 12, 2015

Does Putin live in another world? EU-Russia Centre, February 11, 2015

At Munich, a renewed Cold War atmosphere German Marshall Fund, February 11, 2015

European security after Ukraine Carnegie Europe, February 10, 2015

What would it take to restore peace  in Europe? Carnegie Europe, February 11, 2015

U.S. armament of Ukraine is an enormous risk Brookings Institution, February 10, 2015

The Dialogue of the deaf between the West and Russia Carnegie Europe, February 7, 2015

Time is not on his side Atlantic Council, December 21, 2014

The greatest challenge to U.S.-European security cooperation today: the Ukraine crisis

Rand Corporation, December 9, 2014

Analyses by think tanks

It’s not just Russia: Currency crisis in the Commonwealth of Independent States

Bruegel, February 9, 2015

EU sanctions policy towards Russia: The sanctioner-sanctionee’s Game of Thrones

Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), January 30, 2015

Les conséquences du schisme russo-occidental

Institut Français des Relations Internationales (IFRI), January 30, 2015

The menace of unreality: How the Kremlin weaponizes information, culture and money

Institute of Modern Russia, January, 2015

The die is cast: Confronting Russian aggression in Eastern Europe Atlantic Council, December 23, 2014

The new European disorder European Council on Foreign Relations, November 20, 2014

Dangerous Brinkmanship: close military encounters between Russia and the West in 2014

European Leadership Network, November, 2014

Protecting the European choice European Council on Foreign Relations, July 28, 2014

Can Europe survive without Russian gas? Bruegel, March 21, 2014

Related think-tank publications

European Millennials are cool toward Russia, but warmer than older generations

Pew Research Centre, February 11, 2015

Ukraine’s future hanging in the balance Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), February 9, 2015

Preserving Ukraine’s independence, resisting Russian aggression: what the United States and NATO must do

Brookings Institution, February, 2015

The EU and its Neighbours: Predictions for 2015 Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), January 5, 2015

Revisiting Energy Security in Turbulent Times Madariaga, January, 2015

Frontiers New and Old: Russia’s Policy in Central Asia

Institut Français des Relations Internationales (IFRI), January, 2015

Triangular geopolitics in Europe’s eastern neighbourhood

Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS), December 2, 2014

Beyond Russia’s ‘Versailles syndrome’ Egmont, November 24, 2015

Whose is Russia’s external debt? Bruegel, October 8, 2014

Fatal attraction? Russia’s soft power in its neighbourhood  FRIDE, May, 2014

Other material

Statement by President Donald Tusk after the informal meeting of heads of state or government

Minsk peace agreement: still to be consolidated on the ground. EPRS briefing

Who wants to arm Ukraine? EPRS briefing

Related Articles
  • Another article which puts all the blame on Putin without any consideration of how the EU and NATO in particular mishandled the relationship with Russia. the West took advantage of a weak Russia and in particular a weak Yeltsin. listen to what Gorbachov is telling us and who would ever have believed that Russia would have accepted to have their fleet based in a NATO ally to whom we keep on saying that the door is open to the EU and to NATO. What sort of democracy is that?? Who pays Porochenko to be so belligerent? Putin had to act and now we all feel terribly sorry. Time for a wake up call for our politicians and in particular NATO.

  • …I don’t know why eu is publishing every day > 4 tons of paper – nota bene with so called facts which are read by your employees… no one else… what a waste of paper, resources and you are even paid for that… why don’t you go and do something more useful???

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