Brexit: The endgame? [What Think Tanks are thinking]

Written by Marcin Grajewski,

Prime Minister Teresa May faces an uphill struggle to convince the British House of Commons to back the agreement she has reached with the EU27 on withdrawal from the European Union, in a crucial vote set for 11 December. Although the deal was approved by her Cabinet and all EU leaders, the divorce terms have been criticised by many Members of Parliament, both advocates of a no-deal departure from the Union and those who would like the United Kingdom to remain within th Union or have the closest possible ties with it from outside.

In a parallel development, an Advocate General of the Court of Justice of the European Union has issued an opinion that the UK government may unilateraly withdraw its notification of intent to leave the EU, where the departure date is currently set for 29 March 2019. In the past, the Court has followed its advocate generals’ opinions in most cases.

This note offers links to reports and commentaries from some major international think-tanks and research institutes on Brexit negotiations and related issues. More reports on the topic can be found in a previous edition of ‘What Think Tanks are thinking’, published in October 2018.

Can the UK unilaterally revoke its notification to exit the EU?
A UK in a Changing Europe, December 2018

The proposed UK-EU Brexit deal: An explainer
Open Europe, November December 2018

Le Brexit dans tous ses états
Institut français des relations internationales, December 2018

How to exit the backstop
Policy Exchange, December 2018

Brexit, Black Pete and Bannon are testing Europe: But can’t defeat it
Friends of Europe, December 2018

Brexit brief: Special edition
Institute of International and European Affairs, November 2018

New research shows economic and fiscal consequences of the Brexit deal
A UK in a Changing Europe, November 2018

Which Brexit deal, mad, implausible, plausible or desirable?
Scottish Centre on European Elections, November 2018

The Brexit ‘future relationship’: Not a deal, but a half-blind date
Centre for European Policy Studies, November 2018

The November Draft Withdrawal Agreement
Institute for Government, November 2018

The Brexit deal and the UK-EU security relationship
DCU Brexit Institute, November 2018

What happens if Parliament rejects May’s Brexit deal?
Centre for European Reform, November 2018

What impact would a No Deal Brexit have on European Parliament elections?
Institut Jacques Delors, November 2018

Brexit and Scotland: The row over the backstop
Scottish Centre on European Elections, November 2018

Parliament’s ‘meaningful vote’ on Brexit
Institute for Government, November 2018

Brexit-Sondergipfel des Europäischen Rates
Konrad Adenauer Stiftung, November 2018

Brexit is where Scottish and English nationalism meet
A UK in a Changing Europe, November 2018

Loss adjustment: European politics realigns for Brexit
European Council on Foreign Relations, November 2018

Brexit deal series: Ireland’s great Brexit achievement and challenges ahead
Scottish Centre on European Elections, November 2018

LSE blog: Brexit
London School of Economics, November 2018

Theresa May plays Brexit chicken
Peterson Institute for International Economics, November 2018

Why be afraid of no deal?
Policy Exchange, November 2018

The Westminster politics could be unpredictable to the end
Scottish Centre on European Elections, November 2018

Brexit, les leçons de la négociation pour l’Union européenne
Fondation Robert Schuman, November 2018

Meeting the EU’s military level of ambition in the context of Brexit
Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik, October 2018

The Brexit withdrawal agreement
Bruegel, November 2018

In Brexit negotiations, both sides have now compromised
Chatham House, November 2018

Brexit: An unprecedented journey
European Policy Centre, November 2018

Endorsing Brexit or preparing for ‘No Deal’? A Belgian perspective
Egmont, November 2018

The Withdrawal Agreement and devolution
A UK in a Changing Europe, November 2018

Cancelling Brexit: Possible theoretically, but difficult politically
Finnish Institute for International Affairs, November 2018

Brexit deal done: Now for the hard part
Centre for European Policy Studies, November 2018

Northern Ireland and the Withdrawal Agreement
A UK in a Changing Europe, November 2018

Loss adjustment: European politics realigns for Brexit
European Council on Foreign Relations, November 2018

An effective UK trade policy and a customs union are compatible
Centre for European Reform, November 2018

Brexit and the future of European energy integration
Institute Affari Internazionali, November 2018

Europe reacts to the approval of the Brexit deal
Open Europe, November 2018

The Brexit endgame: Deal or no deal?
Brookings Institution, November 2018

Post-Brexit transfers of personal data: The clock is ticking
Bruegel, November 2018

What sort of Brexit do the British people want?
Rand Corporation, October 2018

Understanding the economic impact of Brexit
Institute for Government, October 2018

Welcoming back the prodigal son?
European Policy Centre, October 2018

No deal: The economic consequences and how they could be mitigated
Open Europe, October 2018

From UK customs fraud to Danish money laundering: Lessons for Brexit and the EU
Centre for European Policy Studies, October 2018

Brexit tectonics
Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, October 2018

Brexit isn’t the only shock hanging over Britain
Council on Foreign Relations, October 2018

Brexit’s never-ending transition
Carnegie Europe, October 2018

Brexit: Next steps in UK’s withdrawal from the EU
House of Commons Library, 2018

Read this briefing on ‘Brexit: The endgame?‘ on the Think Tank pages of the European Parliament.