![Latest analyses of Russia’s war on Ukraine [What Think Tanks are thinking]](https://i0.wp.com/epthinktank.eu/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/AdobeStock_490075700.jpeg?fit=1024%2C426&ssl=1)
Written by Marcin Grajewski.
Russia’s armed forces have increased their bombardment and shelling of Ukrainian cities, stepping up the war launched on 24 February. However, new talks between Moscow and Kiev about a future status for Ukraine outside NATO have raised hopes about a possible breakthrough in the biggest military conflict in Europe since World War II. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy has renewed calls on NATO to establish a ‘no-fly zone’ over Ukraine. Instead, the West has imposed tough sanctions against Russia, and many companies are withdrawing from the country, pushing it towards a default, emptying its shops and sending the rouble into freefall. Russian President Vladimir Putin said on 16 March that Russia was ready to discuss Ukraine’s neutrality, but added that Moscow would still achieve the goals of its military operation. Ukraine says it is willing to negotiate to end the war but will not surrender or accept Russian ultimatums.
This note gathers links to the recent publications and commentaries from many international think tanks on Russia’s war on Ukraine, its implications for the two countries, for the European Union and for the whole world. Earlier analyses of the implications of the war can be found in a previous edition of the ‘What Think Tanks are Thinking’ series.
The Western response to Putin’s war has been remarkable. But it’s not enough
Atlantic Council, March 2022
What are the risks and benefits of US/NATO military options in Ukraine? Our strategic risk calculator has answers
Atlantic Council, March 2022
What’s left to sanction in Russia? Wallets, stocks and foreign investments
Atlantic Council, March 2022
Four ways the war in Ukraine might end
Atlantic Council, March 2022
The economic policy consequences of the war
Bruegel, March 2022
Can China bail out Putin?
Bruegel, March 2022
War in Europe: The financial front
Bruegel, March 2022
How to wean Europe off Russian gas as swiftly as possible
Bruegel, March 2022
Mapping financial countermeasures against Russian aggression: Introducing the Brookings Sanctions Tracker
Brookings Institution, March 2022
Mind the escalation aversion: Managing risk without losing the initiative in the Russia-Ukraine war
Brookings Institution, March 2022
Russia vs. Ukraine: How does this end?
Brookings Institution, March 2022
Developing economies must act now to dampen the shocks from the Ukraine conflict
Brookings Institution, March 2022
Will Ukraine’s tragedy spur UN Security Council reform?
Brookings Institution, March 2022
What Russia’s war in Ukraine means for Europe
Carnegie Europe, March 2022
Darkness looms over Ukraine’s neighborhood
Carnegie Europe, March 2022
Russia’s war against Ukraine ends Europe’s self-deception
Carnegie Europe, March 2022
The war in Ukraine could change Poland
Carnegie Europe, March 2022
Can sanctions end Russia’s war in Ukraine?
Carnegie Europe, March 2022
The Kremlin’s crackdown on Western social networks
Centre for Eastern Studies, March 2022
How the war is affecting the Russian gas sector
Centre for Eastern Studies, March 2022
The US embargo on Russian energy resources: The consequences for Russia
Centre for Eastern Studies, March 2022
Sanctions against Russia: the government is becoming increasingly nervous
Centre for Eastern Studies, March 2022
When the taps are turned off: How to get Europe through the next winter without Russian gas
Centre for European Policy Studies, March 2022
The European security order after Putin’s aggression
Centre for European Policy Studies, March 2022
Considering Ukraine, why Georgia deserves EU membership
Centre for European Policy Studies, March 2022
The EU grants temporary protection for people fleeing war in Ukraine
Centre for European Policy Studies, March 2022
Russia-Ukraine: The West needs a sanctions strategy
Centre for European Reform, March 2022
Four questions on how the Russian assault on Ukraine will affect Europe
Centre for European Reform, March 2022
Why a no-fly zone risks escalating the Ukraine conflict
Chatham House, March 2022
Will American support for Ukraine last?
Chatham House, March 2022
Devising the strategy to deter Russia and weaken Putin
Chatham House, March 2022
Ukraine’s wider impact on Turkey’s international future
Chatham House, March 2022
Putin’s support from Russian society may decline fast
Chatham House, March 2022
Russia’s war against Ukraine: Preliminary observations
Clingendael, March 2022
Expert insights: Russia and Ukraine
Clingendael, March 2022
European defence and the war in Ukraine
Clingendael, March 2022
How bad is Ukraine’s humanitarian crisis?
Council on Foreign Relations, March 2022
Will international sanctions stop Russia in Ukraine?
Council on Foreign Relations, March 2022
Five questions: Russia’s war on Ukraine
Council on Foreign Relations, March 2022
Ukraine war should slow but not stop the U.S. pivot to Asia
Council on Foreign Relations, March 2022
From war of choice to war of perseverance
Council on Foreign Relations, March 2022
The Ukraine crisis could sideline the Iran Nuclear Deal
Council on Foreign Relations, March 2022
Tracking cyber operations and actors in the Russia-Ukraine war
Council on Foreign Relations, March 2022
How Asia is responding to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine
Council on Foreign Relations, March 2022
What’s next as Russia’s invasion continues?
Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik, March 2022
Russia import dependency problem
European Centre for International Political Economy, March 2022
The crisis of European security: What Europeans think about the war in Ukraine
European Council on Foreign Relations, March 2022
View from Kyiv: Putin’s failed blitzkrieg and the future of Europe
European Council on Foreign Relations, March 2022
Putin’s critical raw materials are a threat to EU economic security
Egmont, March 2022
The EU-Ukraine Association Agreement after Ukraine’s EU membership application: Still fit for purpose
Egmont, March 2022
Putin is creating the multipolar world he (thought he) wanted
Egmont, March 2022
For Russia, the Ukraine front stretches to the Mediterranean
Egmont, March 2022
The EU–Ukraine Association Agreement after Ukraine’s EU membership application: Still fit for purpose
European Policy Centre, March 2022
Putin’s war on Ukrainian women
European Policy Centre, March 2022
The EU has been sleepwalking into war, but it’s Germany and France who have a lot to answer for
European Policy Centre, March 2022
The war in Ukraine: China walking amid the shrapnel
European Policy Centre, March 2022
War in Ukraine: The European Union evolves as Putin attacks
Finnish Institute of International Affairs, March 2022
Guerre en Ukraine: L’armée russe est-elle sur le point d’atteindre le «point culminant» de son offensive?
Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique, March 2022
Russia’s nuclear gamble
Foundation for European Progressive Studies, March 2022
Silence the guns in Ukraine: What international diplomacy can (and can’t) do
Foundation for European Progressive Studies, March 2022
We will need a ‘New Deal’ to engage with a post-Putin Russia
Friends of Europe, March 2022
Can Russia’s war on Ukraine drive Turkey and the West to reconcile?
German Marshall Fund, March 2022
L’UE fournit des armes létales à l’Ukraine: Trajectoire et portée d’une nouvelle compétence
Groupe de recherche et d’information sur la paix et la sécurité, March 2022
Russian energy exports and the conflict in Ukraine: What options for Italy and the EU?
Istituto Affari Internazionali, March 2022
The EU and the Ukraine war: Making sense of the rise of a ‘geopolitical’ Union
Istituto Affari Internazionali, March 2022
Japan responds to Russia’s war: Strong solidarity with Ukraine with an eye on China
Istituto Affari Internazionali, March 2022
Putin’s use and abuse of history: Back to the 19th century?
Istituto Affari Internazionali, March 2022
Comment l’Ukraine rebat les cartes du monde
Institut Montaigne, March 2022
L’Ukraine montre que les crypto-monnaies pourraient devenir une arme de (financement) de guerre
Institut Thomas More, March 2022
The Ukraine war: A global crisis?
International Crisis Group, March 2022
No-fly zone in Ukraine: War with Russia by another name
International Crisis Group, March 2022
The war against Ukraine: An expert assessment from on the ground
International Institute for Peace, March 2022
The danger of a single story: From Ukraine to Western Balkans
International Institute for Peace, March 2022
Time for NATO to find a way out of the escalation trap in Ukraine
International Institute for Strategic Studies, March 2022
Could the Ukraine crisis accelerate a longer-term policy shift away from fossil fuels?
International Institute for Strategic Studies, March 2022
The UN’s indictment of Russia and its long-term consequences
International Institute for Strategic Studies, March 2022
Ukraine’s EU application: A new paradigm for EU enlargement?
Irish Institute of International and European Affairs, March 2022
The Ukraine war and the risk of a new foreign fighters wave
Istituto per gli Studi di Politica Internazionale, March 2022
Réfugiés ukrainiens: Le pas d’après
Institut Jacques Delors, March 2022
Putins heiliger Krieg
Konrad Adenauer Stiftung, March 2022
Russia vs Ukraine: Where does China (really) stand?
Istituto per gli Studi di Politica Internazionale, March 2022
Europe’s economic response to the Russia: Ukraine war will redefine its priorities and future
Peterson Institute for International Economics, March 2022
Financial sanctions have devastated Russia’s economy: The EU and global financial system are absorbing the shock
Peterson Institute for International Economics, March 2022
Russia’s war on Ukraine: A sanctions timeline
Peterson Institute for International Economics, March 2022
No-fly zone over Ukraine?
Polish Institute of International Affairs, March 2022
Russia’s aggression against Ukraine and the threat to cultural heritage
Polish Institute of International Affairs, March 2022
Keeping Russians informed about Ukraine could help end this war
Rand Corporation, March 2022
Is Putin irrational? What nuclear strategic theory says about deterrence of potentially irrational opponents
Rand Corporation, March 2022
Latin America in the Ukraine crisis: A pawn in the game for Putin’sresurgent Russia
Real Instituto Elcano, March 2022
The Kremlin’s gas wars
Bruegel, February 2022
An attack on Ukraine; An attack on the Western worldview
International Institute for Peace, February 2022
Read this briefing on ‘Latest analyses of Russia’s war on Ukraine‘ in the Think Tank pages of the European Parliament.
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