EPRS Strategy By / September 6, 2022

Russia’s war on Ukraine six months on [What Think Tanks are thinking]

This note gathers links to the recent publications and commentaries from many international think tanks on Russia’s war on Ukraine.

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Written by Marcin Grajewski.

European Union foreign ministers have agreed to make it more difficult for Russians to obtain visas to travel to the bloc, but stopped short of imposing an EU-wide visa ban, as called for by Ukraine. More than six months after Russia invaded Ukraine, the country is holding out against the aggressor, helped by military and financial help from the United States, EU countries and others. Ukrainian forces have recently launched counter-attacks against the Russian military occupying areas in the south and east of the country. United Nations experts arrived at Ukraine’s large nuclear plant at Zaporizhzhia to assess the risk of radiation from the facility, which is currently controlled by Russian forces but operated by Ukrainian staff. Russia is scaling down natural gas supplies to the EU in retaliation for sanctions against Moscow, fuelling inflation and additional fears of recession.

This note gathers links to the recent publications and commentaries from many international think tanks on Russia’s war on Ukraine. Earlier analyses of the implications of the war can be found in a previous edition of the ‘What Think Tanks are Thinking’ series.

Politics

Guerre en Ukraine: Un changement de monde?
Institut français des relations internationales, September 2022

Six months, twenty three lessons: What the world has learned from Russia’s war in Ukraine
Atlantic Council, August 2022

A strong Ukraine is the best solution to Europe’s Russia problem
Atlantic Council, August 2022

Russia, Ukraine, and the decision to negotiate
Brookings Institution, August 2022

Understanding the Erdoğan-Putin duet
Carnegie Europe, August 2022

Russia’s longstanding problem with Ukraine’s borders
Chatham House, August 2022

La Turquie et la guerre en Ukraine, ou le retour à une politique du grand écart
Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique, August 2022

Ukrainian politicians fight for the future
Carnegie Europe, August 2022

Vogue diplomacy: First Lady Olena Zelenska is Ukraine’s secret weapon
Atlantic Council, July 2022

Everyone’s talking about the endgame in Ukraine: Here’s how it might look
Brookings Institution, July 2022

Ukraine and Taiwan on the Biden-Xi chessboard
Bruegel, July 2022

It’s bifurcation, not bipolarity: Understanding world order after the Ukraine invasion
Brussels School of Governance, July 2022

Europe’s continued commitment to Ukraine hinges on Germany
Carnegie Europe, July 2022

Autocracy versus democracy after the Ukraine invasion: Mapping a middle way
Carnegie Europe, July 2022

Ukraine could tear Europe apart
Cato Institute, July 2022

The EU and India agree to disagree on Ukraine… and that’s ok

Centre for European Policy Studies, July 2022

Expert insights: Russia and Ukraine
Clingendael, July 2022

The impact of the war on the economic development of Ukraine
DIW, July 2022

Russian spring 2022 recruitment circle: Putin’s camouflaged referendum
Egmont, July 2022

Russia’s war on Ukraine viewed from China
European Council on Foreign Relations, July 2022

La mer Noire, le spectre d’un nouveau rideau de fer?
Fondation Robert Schumann, July 2022

La guerre russo-ukrainienne, catharsis de deux conflits convergents
Institut de relations internationales et stratégiques, July 2022

Taïwan-Ukraine: Quel parallèle entre les stratégies maritimes de la Chine et de la Russie?
Institut Thomas More, July 2022

Opinions européennes face à la guerre en Ukraine
Institut Jacques Delors, July 2022

Opinions européennes face à la guerre en Ukraine
Institut Jacques Delors, July 2022

The lessons the United States learned, and that Russia did not
Rand Corporation, July 2022

War of the worlds: How cognitive dissonance and repression shape Russian perceptions of the conflict in Ukraine
Rand Corporation, July 2022

Wirtschaftssanktionen gegen Russland: Internationale Perspektiven und globale Auswirkungen
Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, July 2022

Russia’s war against Ukraine and its consequences
Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, July 2022

Krieg und Hunger : Versorgungsrisiken, Lösungsansätze, Konfliktkonstellationen
Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, July 2022

Pourquoi la guerre en Ukraine risque d’affaiblir l’Europe dans le monde
Terra Nova, July 2022

Russia’s war on Ukraine: How to get to negotiations
United States Institute of Peace, June 2022

Why fear of provoking Putin is the most provocative policy of all
Atlantic Council, June 2022

Ukraine and what it means for European Union enlargement
Bruegel, June 2022

A creeping annexation. Russia’s plans to partition Ukraine
Centre for Eastern Studies, June 2022

Will Putin’s war in Ukraine make the EU stronger?
Centre for European Policy Studies, June 2022

Will Putin’s war lead to the collapse of fortress Russia
Clingendael, June 2022

Why the West should support Ukraine but not appropriate the war
Clingendael, June 2022

Ukraine could become an EU Member. What would that mean?
Council on Foreign Relations, June 2022

How the war in Ukraine shapes the multipolar world
Egmont, June 2022

Peace versus justice: The coming European split over the war in Ukraine
European Council on Foreign Relations, June 2022

The U.S. must support Ukraine in a fiscally responsible manner
Heritage Foundation, June 2022

Asia and the war in Ukraine
International Institute for Strategic Studies, June 2022

Military

Russia’s attack on Ukraine: Day 186
Centre for Eastern Studies, August 2022

The EU, NATO and European security in a time of war
Centre for European Reform, August 2022

Russia recruiting volunteers to fight in Ukraine
Polish Institute of International Affairs, August 2022

Lessons for the West: Russia’s military failures in Ukraine
European Council on Foreign Relations, August 2022

Four (updated) ways the war in Ukraine might end
Atlantic Council, July 2022

First help Ukraine win the war, then help it win the peace
Centre for European Reform, July 2022

The next war: How Russian hybrid aggression could threaten Moldova
European Council on Foreign Relations, July 2022

Strike traction: How the West can support a Ukrainian counter-offensive
European Council on Foreign Relations, July 2022

Shadow of the bomb: Russia’s nuclear threats
European Council on Foreign Relations, July 2022

Immediate impact: How Western heavy weapons are already helping Ukraine halt Russia
European Council on Foreign Relations, July 2022

Guerre en Ukraine: Le sens du signalement nucléaire russe
Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique, July 2022

Les armes nucléaires et la guerre en Ukraine : bilan provisoire et conséquences possibles
Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique, July 2022

Don’t humiliate Russia! Or how to repeat past mistakes at the cost of European security
Friends of Europe, July 2022

Making it the distance to victory: Ukraine’s war and post-war needs
Globsec, July 2022

The defense impact of the Ukraine war on the Visegrád Four
German Marshall Fund, July 2022

Ukraine: Le cadre européen des exportations d’armes en péril?
Groupe de recherche et d’information sur la paix et la sécurité, July 2022

Ukrainians resist in the occupied south
Polish Institute of Foreign Relations, July 2022

Ukrainian society in the face of war
Polish Institute of Foreign Relations, July 2022

Might Russia turn to terror bombing civilians in Ukraine?
Rand Corporation, July 2022

Problems and capability gaps in military aid for Ukraine
Polish Institute of Foreign Relations, June 2022

Possible Russian nuclear deployments to Belarus could shift Europe’s nuclear balance
United States Institute of Peace, June 2022

War crimes and genocidal intent in the heart of Europe
European Policy Centre, June 2022

Energy

Russia in a gas war with Europe
Centre for Eastern Studies, August 2022

Attacks on Ukraine nuclear plant: What’s at stake?
Chatham House, August 2022

A German gas crisis will cause jitters across Europe
Brookings Institution, July 2022

European Union demand reduction needs to cope with Russian gas cuts
Bruegel, July 2022

Revitalising EU-Ukraine cross-border infrastructure for a secure, clean energy future
Regulatory Assistance Project, July 2022

Sanctions

UK trade and the war in Ukraine
Chatham House, September 2022

The Ukraine war has made Iran and Russia allies in economic isolation: Here’s how
Atlantic Council, August 2022

Using sanctioned Russian assets to rebuild Ukraine will not be easy
Centre for European Reform, August 2022

Unmoved: Why a ban on Russians’ visas won’t help
European Council on Foreign Relations, August 2022

Russia’s war on Ukraine: A sanctions timeline
Peterson Institute for International Economics, August 2022

Food

Agriculture supply shocks due to Russia’s war cause hardships for numerous states
Bertelsmann Stiftung, July 2022

Global food insecurity due to the war in Ukraine
Clingendael, July 2022


Read this briefing on ‘Russia’s war on Ukraine six months on‘ in the Think Tank pages of the European Parliament.


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