EPRS Strategy By / October 14, 2022

Latest on Russia’s war on Ukraine [What Think Tanks are thinking]

This note gathers links to the recent publications and commentaries from many international think tanks on Russia’s war on Ukraine.

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Written by Marcin Grajewski.

On 10 October, Russia began massive missile strikes against Ukrainian cities in another twist to a war launched more than 7 months ago. The attacks followed an explosion which damaged the bridge from Russia to the annexed Crimean peninsula and a successful counter-offensive by Ukrainian forces in the east and south of the country. Earlier Russia declared the annexation of Ukraine’s south-eastern provinces, started a mobilisation of hundreds of thousands of additional soldiers and threatened to use its nuclear weapons. In a snub to the United States and the European Union, oil-exporting countries joined Russia in announcing cuts in their oil production, lifting its global price.

This note gathers links to the recent publications and commentaries from many international think tanks on Russia’s war on Ukraine. Earlier analyses on the topic can be found in a previous edition of the ‘What Think Tanks are Thinking’ series.

Europeans’ support for Ukraine continues unabated
Bertelsmann Stiftung, October 2022

How to respond to Putin’s land grab and nuclear gambit
Brookings Institution, October 2022

The (sorry) state of EU defense cooperation
Carnegie Europe, October 2022

Ukraine exposes Europe’s competing narratives about Russia
Carnegie Europe, October 2022

Massive rocket attacks on Ukraine: 228th day of the war
Centre for Eastern Studies, October 2022

Ukraine: After two months, the food corridor operation is a success
Centre for Eastern Studies, October 2022

Shortages looming: How the annexation of Ukraine’s oblasts affects electricity generation
Centre for Eastern Studies, October 2022

Ukraine’s allies must dig deep to save its economy now
Chatham House, October 2022

Expert insights: Russia and Ukraine
Clingendael, October 2022

Whom are we fighting? Some thoughts related to Russia’s latest mobilization plan
Egmont, October 2022

No partial measures: How Ukraine can meet the challenge of Russia’s mobilisation
European Council on Foreign Relations, October 2022

The coming transatlantic rift over Ukraine
European Council on Foreign Relations, October 2022

How big is the storm? Assessing the impact of the Russian–Ukrainian war on the eastern neighbourhood
European Union Institute for Security Studies, October 2022

Quadruple military aid for Ukraine
European Policy Studies, October 2022

Nine months into the Ukraine conflict: four factors will decide the outcome
Friends of Europe, October 2022

Germany’s choices over Ukraine recall earlier Cold War challenges
German Marshall Fund, October 2022

A modern Marshall plan for Ukraine
German Marshall Fund, October 2022

NATO Strategic Concept in the shadow of the war
GLOBSEC, October 2022

Ukraine’s post-war reconstruction strategy: Breaking free of the Soviet economic legacy
Heritage Foundation, October 2022

Understanding Russia’s threat to employ nuclear weapons in its war against Ukraine
Heritage Foundation, October 2022

Reaffirming Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity at the UN
International Crisis Group, October 2022

Impacts of the Ukraine crisis on Biden’s foreign policy
Institut des relations internationales et stratégiques, October 2022

Mobilisation, annexions: Où va le régime russe?
Institut Montaigne, October 2022

Russia annexes four Ukrainian regions
Polish Institute of International Affairs, October 2022

Russia threatens Ukraine with nuclear weapons
Polish Institute of International Affairs, October 2022

Cyberattacks in Russia’s hybrid war against Ukraine
Notre Europe, October 2022

A moment of strategic clarity
Rand Corporation, October 2022

The EU’s Russia visa ban debate reveals the bloc’s new power center
Atlantic Council, September 2022

Russia is weaponizing its data laws against foreign organization
Brookings Institution, September 2022

We must reinforce Putin’s military losses with economic ones
Brookings Institution, September 2022

Will Ukraine’s refugees go home?
Bruegel, September 2022

A grand bargain to steer through the European Union’s energy crisis
Bruegel, September 2022

Can Putin be stopped?
Carnegie Europe, September 2022

A democratic roadmap for Ukraine
Carnegie Europe, September 2022

Why Ukraine must win
Carnegie Europe, September 2022

Russia’s war in Ukraine: A turning point?
Carnegie Europe, September 2022

Is NATO doing anything for Ukraine?
Carnegie Europe, September 2022

Europe should not forget the challenges to its South
Centre for European Reform, September 2022

How likely is the use of nuclear weapons by Russia?
Chatham House, September 2022

China is divided on Russia: Let’s keep it that way
Clingendael, September 2022

Ukraine’s coming winter of decision
Council on Foreign Relations, September 2022

The case for creating a special tribunal to prosecute the crime of aggression committed against Ukraine
Council on Foreign Relations, September 2022

Strict and uniform: Improving EU sanctions enforcement
Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik, September 2022

Military offensives, hybrid attacks, and no peace in sight
Egmont, September 2022

Syria, the Middle East and the war in Ukraine
Egmont, September 2022

Survive and thrive: A European plan to support Ukraine in the long war against Russia
European Council on Foreign Relations, September 2022

In Europe’s defence: Why the EU needs a security compact with Ukraine
European Council on Foreign Relations, September 2022

In Europe’s gift: How to avoid a Ukraine ‘forever war’
European Council on Foreign Relations, September 2022

The Leopard plan: How European tanks can help Ukraine take back its territory
European Council on Foreign Relations, September 2022

How the West can help Ukraine capitalise on the Kherson counteroffensive
European Council on Foreign Relations, September 2022

Russia’s regional elections 2022: The elephant in the room
Finnish Institute of International Affairs, September 2022

How much of a game-changer is Russia’s annexation of Ukraine’s territories?
German Marshall Fund, September 2022

Designing Ukraine’s recovery in the spirit of the Marshall Plan
German Marshall Fund, September 2022

Preventing the (un)thinkable: Escalation scenarios and risk reduction measures for Russia and NATO following the war in Ukraine
Hans Seidel Stiftung, September 2022

Make Russia pay for Ukraine’s Western economic integration
Heritage Foundation, September 2022

Le retour de la haute intensité en Ukraine Quels enseignements pour les forces terrestres?
Institut français des relations internationales, September 2022

Putin vs Monnet: European resilience, energy and the Ukraine war
Istituto Affari Internazionali, September 2022

Mobilisation: Russia crosses the Rubicon
International Institute for Strategic Studies, September 2022

Russia’s war on Ukraine: A sanctions timeline
Peterson Institute for International Economy, September 2022

A new dawn for EU enlargement?
Peterson Institute for International Economy, September 2022

Consequences of the Nord Stream 1 and 2 Gas Pipeline explosions
Polish Institute of International Relations, September 2022

What came of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization Summit and the Xi-Putin meeting?
Polish Institute of International Relations, September 2022


Read this briefing on ‘Latest on Russia’s war on Ukraine‘ in the Think Tank pages of the European Parliament.


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