Members' Research Service By / January 12, 2023

Latest on Russia’s war on Ukraine [What Think Tanks are thinking]

This note gathers links to the recent publications and commentaries from many international think tanks on Russia’s war on Ukraine. Earlier analyses of the war can be found in a previous edition of the ‘What Think Tanks are Thinking’ series.

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Written by Marcin Grajewski.

As Russia’s war on Ukraine has entered into its 11th month, Moscow’s forces have launched fierce attacks in the east of the country, hoping for gains after a series of retreats in the second half of 2022. In some of the most intense fighting since the invasion, Russia’s onslaught focused on the salt-mining town of Soledar, a stepping-stone in Moscow’s push to capture the entire Donbas region.

In the preceding weeks, Russia has been bombing Ukraine’s critical infrastructure, depriving many areas and people of electricity, heating and water supplies.

Ukraine is preparing to receive Patriot air defence missiles from the United States and Germany. Ukrainian troops were due soon to arrive in the United States to begin training on this advanced defence system.

Meanwhile, the EU has agreed to introduce a price cap for Russian oil at US$60 per barrel.

This note gathers links to the recent publications and commentaries from many international think tanks on Russia’s war on Ukraine. Earlier analyses of the war can be found in a previous edition of the ‘What Think Tanks are Thinking’ series.

Refugees must be central to the reconstruction of Ukraine
Brookings Institution, January 2023

European natural gas imports
Bruegel, January 2023

Germany must move past the crossroads
Carnegie Europe, January 2023

War in Ukraine bolstered EU solidarity: Will it last?
Centre for European Reform, January 2023

Expert insights: Russia and Ukraine
Clingendael, January 2023

The risk of ‘refugee fatigue’: Three ways European leaders can support Ukrainians fleeing the war
European Council on Foreign Relations, January 2023

Announcements of new military equipment for Ukraine: Day 315 of the war
Eastern Studies Centre, January 2023

L’Union européenne face à la guerre en Ukraine: La puissance libérale et ses limites
Fondation Robert Schumann, January 2023

Disinformation as a weapon of war: the case for prebunking
Friends of Europe, January 2023

The threat of war fatigue
German Marshall Fund, January 2023

In focus: Russian exports to the EU before the invasion of Ukraine
Hellenic Foundation for European and Foreign Policy, January 2023

Russian offensive campaign assessment
Institute for the Study of War, January 2023

The land war in Ukraine as winter takes hold
International Institute for Strategic Studies, January 2023

Belarus and Russia move to the next stage of integration
Polish Institute of International Affairs, January 2023

Ukraine and the new two war construct
Rand Corporation, January 2023

The myth of America’s Ukraine fatigue
Rand Corporation, January 2023

Proposals to seize Russian assets to rebuild Ukraine
Brookings Institution, December 2022

Supporting international accountability for Ukraine
Brookings Institution, December 2022

What lessons do past international efforts at rebuilding war-torn countries hold for organizing the reconstruction of Ukraine?
Brookings Institution, December 2022

The Russia-Ukraine war and its ramifications for Russia
Brookings Institution, December 2022

Ukraine is the victim: Negotiations should be Kyiv’s decision
Brookings Institution, December 2022

The impact of the Ukraine crisis on international trade
Bruegel, December 2022

Will the European Union price cap on Russian oil work?
Bruegel, December 2022

The war in Ukraine highlights European rifts
Carnegie Europe, December 2022

The risks of negotiating an end to the war in Ukraine
Carnegie Europe, December 2022

The $300 billion question: How to get Russia to pay for Ukraine’s reconstruction
Centre for European Policy Studies, December 2022

Feel free to talk about Ukraine, but don’t expect miracles
Centre for European Reform, December 2022

Now is not the time for Ukraine to negotiate
Centre for European Reform, December 2022

Are France and Germany wavering on Russia?
Centre for European Reform, December 2022

Open-source intelligence in Ukraine: Asset or liability?
Chatham House, December 2022

Russian imperial mindset must change for real victory
Chatham House, December 2022

Will an EU oil price cap limit Russian aggression?
Chatham House, December 2022

Putin and the Third Rome
Clingendael, December 2022

Three scenarios for the future of Russia-West relations
Clingendael, December 2022

The old is dying and the new cannot be born: A power audit of EU-Russia relations
Council on Foreign Relations, December 2022

Russia-proofing Europe
Council on Foreign Relations, December 2022

Aggression on trial: The tricky path towards prosecuting Russian war leaders
Council on Foreign Relations, December 2022

Russia’s response to Western oil sanctions
Eastern Studies Centre, December 2022

What news from the Ukrainian front: A net assessment
Egmont, December 2022

No security for Ukraine or Europe without a secure Black Sea and Mediterranean
Egmont, December 2022

Helping Ukraine survive the winter is a life-or-death imperative
European Policy Centre, December 2022

Les armes livrées à l’Ukraine depuis janvier 2022. Base de données et fiche d’information
Groupe de Recherche et d’Information sur la Paix et la Sécurité, December 2022

Les Kadyrovtsy en Ukraine: les limites de ‘l’arme psychologique’ de Poutine
Groupe de Recherche et d’Information sur la Paix et la Sécurité, December 2022

Population displacements in the Ukraine War: The challenge of first humanitarian assistance
Hellenic Foundation for European and Foreign Policy, December 2022

10 conflicts to watch in 2023
International Crisis Group, December 2022

Pour l’Ukraine: Les yeux ouverts
Institut français des relations internationales, December 2022

Soviet history shapes African attitudes towards the Ukraine War
Italian Institute for International Political Studies, December 2022

Ukraine: After winter, spring?
Italian Institute for International Political Studies, December 2022

EU foreign policy integration at times of war: From short-term responses to long-term solutions
Istituto Affari Internazionali, December 2022

The Ukrainian conflict and the energy crisis: Sustaining the energy transition
Istituto Affari Internazionali, December 2022

The EU’s latest bargain with Hungary’s Orban unlocks aid to Ukraine
 Peterson Institute for International Economics, December 2022

Russia’s war on Ukraine: A sanctions timeline
Peterson Institute for International Economics, December 2022

Zelensky visits the U.S. to rally support
Polish Institute of International Affairs, December 2022

Russian attacks may prompt increased refugee flows from Ukraine
Polish Institute of International Affairs, December 2022

EU development cooperation policy faces challenges amid the war in Ukraine
Polish Institute of International Affairs, December 2022

Responding to a limited Russian attack on NATO during the Ukraine war
Rand Corporation, December 2022

The trouble with Russian blacklisting
Rand Corporation, December 2022

The attack on Ukraine and the militarisation of Russian foreign and domestic policy
Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, December 2022


Read the complete briefing on ‘Latest on Russia’s war on Ukraine‘ in the Think Tank pages of the European Parliament.


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