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Written by Marcin Grajewski.
Two anti-Kremlin armed groups, made up of Russian nationals fighting for Kyiv against their compatriots, have claimed they were behind a short incursion into Russian territory, prompting threats from Moscow, as the West pondered further sanctions against Russia and more arms deliveries to Ukraine. Ukraine has denied any role in the raid, while Russia has blamed ‘Ukrainian nationalists’ for the attack, and its Defence Minister, Sergei Shoigu, has vowed that Moscow will respond to any more cross-border raids swiftly and ‘extremely harshly.’
At the G7 summit of industrialised and democratic nations on 19-21 May, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy asked for more arms supplies for his country, including F-16 fighter jets. Russia said that the transfer of such planes would raise the question of NATO’s role in the 15-month-old military conflict. The US and other countries promised to start training Ukrainian pilots to use F-16s.
This note gathers links to the recent publications and commentaries from many international think tanks on Russia’s war on Ukraine. Earlier analyses of the war can be found in a previous edition of the ‘What Think Tanks are Thinking’ series.
Ukraine’s growing defense tech prowess can help defeat Russia
Atlantic Council, May 2023
Ukraine’s European integration is the key to a sustainable peace
Atlantic Council, May 2023
Wagner chief’s rants highlight Russian infighting ahead of Ukraine offensive
Atlantic Council, May 2023
Deciphering Vladimir Putin’s unspoken Victory Day message
Atlantic Council, May 2023
Russia’s last red line: Will the West help Ukraine liberate Crimea?
Atlantic Council, May 2023
Global South does not buy western stance on Ukraine
Barcelona Centre for International Affairs, May 2023
Backstopping Ukraine’s long-term security: Toward an Atlantic-Asian security community
Brookings Institution, May 2023
What really influences United Nations voting on Ukraine?
Bruegel, May 2023
Bank of Russia’s immobilised assets: what happens next?
Bruegel, May 2023
Sanctions against Russia will worsen its already poor economic prospects
Bruegel, May 2023
In every crisis an opportunity? European Union integration in defence and the War on Ukraine
Brussels Centre for Governance, May 2023
Is the EU ready for further enlargement?
Carnegie Europe, May 2023
Ukrainians Wait for Their Return Home
Carnegie Europe, May 2023
Tackling the constraints on EU foreign policy towards Ukraine
Centre for European Policy Studies, May 2023
Tsar Nicholas I’s Crimean War and Putin’s in Ukraine: Plus ça change
Centre for European Policy Studies, May 2023
Ukraine’s alarming demographics
Centre for European Policy Studies, May 2023
Social media analysis disrupts Russian digital narratives
Chatham House, May 2023
How much aid has the U.S. sent Ukraine?
Council on Foreign Relations, May 2023
How the Ukraine grain deal went from boon to burden for the Kremlin
Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik, May 2023
Navigating the deployment of Russian tactical nuclear warheads in Belarus: Key factors and considerations
Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik, May 2023
Culture clash: Russia, Ukraine, and the fight for the European public
European Council on Foreign Relations, May 2023
Keeping the lights on: The EU’s energy relationships since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine
European Council on Foreign Relations, May 2023
The Ukraine war and European identity
European Council on Foreign Relations, May 2023
11th package of EU sanctions: Focusing on circumvention
European Policy Centre, May 2023
European politics in times of crisis: Developments in Germany, France and Italy, and consequences for the EU
Finnish Institute of International Affairs, May 2023
Ukraine’s refugees highlight the shameful EU housing crisis
Friends of Europe, May 2023
Defining Russia’s defeat: The war’s exit strategy and a new international security architecture
Friends of Europe, May 2023
Toward a Marshall Plan for Ukraine
German Marshall Fund, May 2023
Pathways to disaster: Russia’s war against Ukraine and the risks of inadvertent nuclear escalation
Hague Centre for Strategic Studies, May 2023
The war in Ukraine and the future of non-proliferation and arms control in the European continent
Istituto Affari Internazionali, May 2023
Applying for EU membership in time of war: “Accession through war” of Ukraine
Istituto Affari Internazionali, May 2023
Europe’s evolving order and the war in Ukraine
Istituto Affari Internazionali, May 2023
Is there life in the desert? Russian civil society after the full-scale invasion of Ukraine
International Centre for Defence and Security, May 2023
What should future U.S. policy toward Russia be in peacetime?
Rand Corporation, May 2023
What the drone strikes on the Kremlin reveal about the war in Ukraine
Rand Corporation, May 2023
Why does Ukraine want Western jets?
Rand Corporation, May 2023
The trade-offs of Ukraine’s recovery: Fighting for the future
Rand Corporation, May 2023
Russian civil society actors in exile
Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, May 2023
Helping Ukraine is not only crucial for peace in Europe but also for world peace
Vox Ukraine, May 2023
Ukraine’s agriculture and farmland market: the impact of war
Vox Ukraine, May 2023
Towards an acceptable accounting of Ukraine’s post-war environmental damages
Vox Ukraine, May 2023
Americans show signs of impatience with Ukraine war
Brookings Institution, April 2023
Ukraine’s resilience is about winning the war
Carnegie Europe, April 2023
Why Ukraine needs security guarantees
Carnegie Europe, April 2023
Nine months of full-scale war in Ukraine: thoughts, feelings, actions
Cedos, April 2023
The EU increases its agri-food imports from Ukraine: causes and reactions from Central European states
Centre for Eastern Studies, April 2023
From Popasna to Bakhmut: The Wagner Group in the Russia-Ukraine war
Centre for Eastern Studies, April 2023
Protecting Europe’s critical infrastructure from Russian hybrid threats
Centre for European Reform, April 2023
Note to the West: Help Georgia and Moldova as well as Ukraine
Centre for European Reform, April 2023
Will Russia control the skies over Ukraine?
Centre for Strategic and International Studies, April 2023
Ukraine’s counter-offensive: Will it retake Crimea?
Council on Foreign Relations, April 2023
Working together toward accountability: How the ICC and a Special Tribunal on Aggression can work together on Ukraine
Council on Foreign Relations, April 2023
What Northern Ireland teaches us about ending the Ukraine war?
Council on Foreign Relations, April 2023
Judging Putin
Fondation Robert Schuman, April 2023
Rebuilding Ukraine: What the international community now needs to consider
German Institute of Development and Sustainability, April 2023
War in Ukraine, where quantity as well as quality matters
International Institute for International Studies, April 2023
Lessons from the past for Ukrainian recovery: A Marshall Plan for Ukraine
Peterson Institute for International Economics, April 2023
Countering Russia’s nuclear threat in Europe
Rand Corporation, April 2023
Cyber operations in Russia’s war against Ukraine Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, April 2023
Read this briefing on ‘Latest on Russia’s war on Ukraine‘ in the Think Tank pages of the European Parliament.
[…] think tanks on Russia’s war on Ukraine. Earlier analyses on the war can be found in a previous edition of ‘What Think Tanks are Thinking’. Publications on NATO released ahead of its July […]
[…] the NATO summit and related issues. Earlier analyses of Russia’s war on Ukraine can be found in a previous edition of the ‘What Think Tanks are Thinking’ […]