EPRS Strategy By / November 18, 2022

Russia’s war on Ukraine nine months on [What Think Tanks are thinking]

This note gathers links to the recent publications and commentaries from many international think tanks on Russia’s war on Ukraine. Earlier analyses of the war can be found in a previous edition of the ‘What Think Tanks are Thinking’ series.

© xbrchx / Adobe Stock

Written by Marcin Grajewski.

Russia has recently launched the heaviest missile barrage against Ukraine since it began its attack on the country nearly nine months ago. This follows the Ukrainian counter-offensive in the east and south, which led to Russia abandoning the southern city of Kherson, the only regional capital it had captured since the February invasion.

On 15 November, a missile landed in Poland, killing two and sparking fears that Russia had attacked a NATO country. A NATO and Polish investigation showed that the blast most likely came from a stray rocket of the Ukrainian air defence system. However, the military alliance said Moscow, not Kyiv, was ultimately responsible for the explosion in Poland. At their summit in Bali, G20 leaders issued a closing declaration saying that ‘most members strongly condemned the war in Ukraine’, although it acknowledged that ‘there were other views’.

This note gathers links to the recent publications and commentaries from many international think tanks on Russia’s war on Ukraine. Earlier analyses of the war can be found in a previous edition of the ‘What Think Tanks are Thinking’ series.

Financing and governing the recovery, reconstruction, and modernization of Ukraine
Brookings Institution, November 2022

Can EU enlargement gain momentum?
Centre for European Reform, November 2022

If Russia goes nuclear: Three scenarios for the Ukraine war
Council on Foreign Relations, November 2022

Russia’s withdrawal from Kherson
Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik, November 2022

Massive strikes on civilian infrastructure
Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik, November 2022

The war against Ukraine and European defence: When will we square the circle?
Egmont, November 2022

Defend. Resist. Repeat: Ukraine’s lessons for European defence
European Council on Foreign Relations, November 2022

How to defeat Russia and prevent nuclear armageddon with one weird trick
European Council on Foreign Relations, November 2022


More tortoise, less hare: How Europeans can ramp up military supplies for Ukraine in the long war
European Council on Foreign Relations, November 2022

De quoi le Président Poutine a-t-il peur?
Fondation Robert Schuman, November 2022

Dear Israel, time to step up on Ukraine
Friends of Europe, November 2022

L’europe face à la Russie: Quel avenir pour la stratégie des sanctions?
Institut Jacques Delors, November 2022

After Ukraine, a shattered multilateralism?
Istituto per gli Studi di Politica Internazionale, November 2022

How the Ukraine war could disrupt climate policies in the MENA region
Istituto per gli Studi di Politica Internazionale, November 2022

Ukraine: unconventional impact at sea?
International Institute for Security Studies, November 2022

Where do the war in Ukraine and sanctions against Russia lead
International Institute for Peace, November 2022

Western Balkans accession to EU: Lessons for Ukraine
Konrad Adenauer Stiftung, November 2022

Living in limbo: Displaced Ukrainians in Poland
Migration Policy Institute, November 2022

The waning India-Russia partnership is an unexpected effect of the war in Ukraine
Polish Institute of International Affairs, November 2022

Iran assists Russia with weapons: The military and political consequences
Polish Institute of International Affairs, November 2022

Putin’s ‘popular Monarchism’ leads Russia into ruin
Wilson Centre, November 2022

U.S. perception of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine
Wilson Centre, November 2022

Heroic arts: The Remarkable story of Ukrainian artists confronting Russia
Wilson Centre, November 2022

Ukraine recovery and reconstruction: cities must be part of it
Barcelona Centre for International Affairs, October 2022

Takeaway from Berlin Ukraine recovery conference: Donor coordination for Ukraine is coming but not here yet
Brookings Institution, October 2022

Ukrainian recovery funding must be tied to anti-corruption
Brookings Institution, October 2022

Russia may prefer sabotage of critical infrastructure over nuclear weapons
Brookings Institution, October 2022

History reveals how to get Ukraine reconstruction right: anti-corruption
Brookings Institution, October 2022

Ukrainian refugees: Challenges in a welcoming Europe
Brookings Institution, October 2022

How have sanctions impacted Russia?
Bruegel, October 2022

Is European support for Ukraine dependent on the United States?
Carnegie Europe, October 2022

Is European support for Ukraine dependent on the United States?
Centre for European Reform, October “022

A struggle to survive: Ukraine’s economy in wartime
Centre for Eastern Studies, October 2022

Russia and Ukraine
Clingendael, October 2022

Can Iranian drones turn Russia’s fortunes in the Ukraine war?
Council on Foreign Relations, October 2022

On the Ukraine war, Germany has a leadership problem. Here’s why
Council on Foreign Relations, October 2022

The EU and Ukraine: Strategy and morality
Egmont, October 2022

Putin’s last ally: Why the Belarusian army cannot help Russia in Ukraine
European Council on Foreign Relations, October 2022

No loitering: What Russia’s Iranian drones could mean for Ukraine
European Council on Foreign Relations, October 2022

Mob unhappy: Why Russia is unlikely to emerge victorious in Ukraine
European Council on Foreign Relations, October 2022

Old order dying: What European decision-makers think of Russia
European Council on Foreign Relations, October 2022

Strengthening the impact of EU sanctions against Russian aggression in Ukraine
European Policy Centre, October 2022

EU responses to Ukrainian arrival: Not (yet) a blueprint
European Policy Centre, October 2022

Keeping a cool head: How to improve the EU migration crisis response
European Policy Centre, October 2022

Zelensky hopes for security guarantees
German Marshall Fund, October 2022

Russia’s dirty bomb claim is a dirty lie
Heritage Foundation, October 2022

Implications of the War in Ukraine on Asia
International Institute for Strategic Studies, October 2022

Russia’s ‘dirty bomb’ diplomacy
International Institute for Strategic Studies, October 2022

Quelle défense pour Taïwan? Réflexions au miroir de la guerre en Ukraine
Institut Thomas More, October 2022

Sanctions against Russia: EU seeks coordination to limit circumvention
Polish Institute of International Affairs, October 2022

Ukraine’s dream could be Taiwan’s nightmare
Rand Corporation, October 2022

The West and Russia the day after
Rand Corporation, October 2022

Russia’s comments about a ‘dirty bomb’ betray the state’s weakness
Wilson Centre, October 2022


Read this briefing on ‘Russia’s war on Ukraine nine months on‘ in the Think Tank pages of the European Parliament.


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