The latest on Russia’s war on Ukraine [What Think Tanks are thinking]

Written by Marcin Grajewski.

Ukraine and its Western allies say Moscow is waging an unprovoked war of conquest that has destroyed Ukrainian cities, killed thousands of people and forced millions more to flee their homes. As Russian troops push forward in waves with a new offensive in the eastern Donbas region of Ukraine, Russia and Ukraine are locked in the bloodiest infantry battle in Europe since World War II.

Ukraine has been urging its allies in the EU and the US to increase the delivery of weapons as it is running out of artillery shells. However, the West’s weapon production capacities are limited. Tanks and aircraft in particular will be crucial to ward off Russian attacks and, possibly, retake Ukrainian territory occupied by Moscow, says Ukrainian President, Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Think-tank analysts also ponder wider issues, such as the impact of the war on efforts to combat climate change, fiscal and other policies, as well as the post-war global order and Ukraine’s reconstruction.

This note gathers links to the recent publications and commentaries from many international think tanks on Russia’s war on Ukraine. Earlier analyses of the war can be found in a previous edition of the ‘What Think Tanks are Thinking’ series.

Premature peace with Putin would be disastrous for international security
Atlantic Council, March 2023

One year in ten numbers
Bruegel, March 2023

Is Russia’s war on Ukraine a global war?
Carnegie Europe, March 2023

After a year of arms deliveries to Ukraine, the EU needs to step up and speed up
Centre for European Policy Studies, March 2023

Europe needs both fiscal and energy solidarity
Centre for European Reform, March 2023

How Russia’s war on Ukraine is threatening climate security
Chatham House, March 2023

Ukraine needs to pursue victory without sacrificing its democratic future
Council on Foreign Relations, March 2023

The astonishing endurance of unity on Ukraine
Council on Foreign Relations, March 2023

Putin ist mächtig wie nie – doch der Krieg beschleunigt den Zerfall seines Imperiums
German Council on Foreign Relations, March 2023

Is realism policy relevant? Evidence from Ukraine and Taiwan
Hellenic Foundation for European and Foreign Policy, March 2023

What has the war on Ukraine revealed about Russia’s non-strategic missiles?
Institute for International Strategic Studies, March 2023

Quelles garanties de sécurité européennes possibles pour l’Ukraine?
Institut Jacques Delors, March 2023

The war against Ukraine and Russia’s Position in Europe’s security order
Istituto Affari Internazionali, March 2023

Military situation in Ukraine as of 10 March 2023
Polish Institute of International Affairs, March 2023

Wagner Group transforms in the wake of the war in Ukraine
Polish Institute of International Affairs, March 2023

Much of the Global South is on Ukraine’s side
Peterson Institute for International Relations, March 2023

The next reform of Russia’s armed forces: Is it a new threat or just for appearances?
Polish Institute of International Affairs, March 2023

What will Putin do next?
Rand Corporation, March 2023

One year since Russia invaded Ukraine
Barcelona Centre for International Affairs, February 2023

Arms control is in limbo until Russia’s war in Ukraine ends
Brooking Institution, February 2023

One year into the Ukraine war: What does the public think about American involvement in the world
Brooking Institution, February 2023

Are sanctions against Russia working?
Bruegel, February 2023

After Russia’s war against Ukraine: What kind of world order?
Carnegie Europe, February 2023

The West’s race against time in supporting Ukraine
Carnegie Europe, February 2023

One year of war: Russia’s imperial maximalism versus Ukraine’s resistance
Centre for Eastern Studies, February 2023

New Ukraine: A breakthrough at great cost
Centre for Eastern Studies, February 2023

A multi-speed mobilisation: NATO’s eastern flank one year after the Russian invasion of Ukraine
Centre for Eastern Studies, February 2023

A year of war in Europe: The balance sheet
Centre for European Reform, February 2023

Envisioning a multilayered security blanket for Ukraine
Centre for Strategic and International Studies, February 2023

Nuclear stability for all put at risk by Putin’s speech
Chatham House, February 2023

One year on, how can the war on Ukraine end?
Chatham House, February 2023

Un an après l’agression russe, les enjeux de la reconstruction de l’Ukraine
Confrontations Europe, February 2023

How much aid has the U.S. sent Ukraine?
Council on Foreign Relations, February 2023

Why the war will continue
Council on Foreign Relations via Project Syndicate, February 2023

Captivated by war: The Russian people in the face of the Ukraine war, mobilization, and tactical defeat
Egmont, February 2023

From buffer to frontier: Ukraine and the EU
Egmont, February 2023

United West, divided from the rest: Global public opinion one year into Russia’s war on Ukraine
European Council on Foreign Relations, February 2023

Repair, replace, reimburse: Sustaining a European tank coalition for Ukraine
European Council on Foreign Relations, February 2023

The second year of Russia’s war: Scenarios for the Ukraine conflict in 2023
European Council on Foreign Relations, February 2023

Russia’s defeat in Ukraine must be the top transatlantic priority
European Policy Centre, February 2023

What now for the future of Ukraine’s healthcare system?
European Policy Centre, February 2023

Russia’s regime transformation and the invasion of Ukraine: From a failed blitzkrieg to war as the new normal
Finnish Institute of International Affairs, February 2023

A brutal war has robbed Ukraine’s children of an entire year of their lives
Friends of Europe, February 2023

What have we learned from the Russian invasion of Ukraine?
Friends of Europe, February 2023

A turning point for EU trade policy after the Russian aggression?
German Council on Foreign Relations, February 2023

Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine continues to have global policy repercussions: The one-year mark
German Marshall Fund, February 2023

Hard work for 2023: Supporting Ukraine to win the war against Russia
GLOBSEC, February 2023

Un Tribunal spécial pour l’Ukraine: Défis, dangers et opportunités pour la justice pénale internationale
Groupe de Recherche et d’Information sur la Paix et la Sécurité, February 2023

Russia’s war on Ukraine: One year on
Institute for International Strategic Studies, February 2023

Guerre en Ukraine: Révélatrice de ruptures dans le secteur spatial?
Institut français des relations internationales, February 2023

The war against Ukraine and its lessons for NATO militaries: Food for thought
Istituto Affari Internazionali, February 2023

A year in: Turning the tide in Russia’s full-scale war against Ukraine
Open Societies Foundation, February 2023

The EU should fast-track negotiations for Ukraine’s membership
Peterson Institute for International Economics, February 2023

Why the war in Ukraine goes on, despite expert forecasts
Razumkov Centre, February 2023

Cross-border movements compared: Migration from and to Ukraine in historical comparison with other conflict-induced situations
Wilfried Martens Centre, February 2023

Read this briefing on ‘The latest on Russia’s war on Ukraine‘ in the Think Tank pages of the European Parliament.