Written by Marcin Grajewski.
Ukraine’s military has focused in recent weeks on repelling Russian assaults across several, geographically distinct, sectors of the front, while trying to make some gains in the eastern and southern occupied territories, and on rebuffing the sentiment that its counter-offensive has stalled. More than 20 months after its eastern neighbour launched the full-scale invasion, the possibility of a battlefield stalemate is highly sensitive in Kyiv. Ukraine has repeatedly voiced opposition against any negotiations with Russia, whose troops, it says, must first withdraw from Ukrainian territory.
The attack by Hamas on Israel in early October and the subsequent Israeli military operation in the Gaza Strip have diverted significant media and diplomatic attention away from Ukraine. Kyiv is also worried about the sustainability of financial and military aid from the United States amid squabbles over the issue in the US Congress.
This note gathers links to the recent publications and commentaries from many international think tanks on Russia’s war on Ukraine. Earlier analyses on the war can be found in a previous edition of the ‘What Think Tanks are Thinking’ series.
Ukraine confirms its counter-offensive has failed: Day 617 of the war
Centre for Eastern Studies, November 2023
Ukraine’s political model recast: Assessing new opportunities and risks
Finnish Institute of International Affairs, November 2023
Les peuples européens derrière l’Ukraine: La guerre en Ukraine vue de France, d’Allemagne, de Pologne et d’Italie
Fondation Jean Jaurès, November 2023
Russian offensive campaign assessment
Institute for the Study of War, 7 November 2023
Russian offensive campaign assessment
Institute for the Study of War, 6 November 2023
Assessing the main needs and challenges of rearming Ukraine’s air force
Polish Institute of International Affairs, November 2023
Challenges for the next stage of globalisation: The factor of Ukraine
Razumkov Centre, November 2023
Seizing the Initiative in Ukraine: Waging War in a Defense Dominant World
Center for Strategic & International Studies, October 2023
A Ukrainian energy hub will help Europe’s clean transition
Atlantic Council, October 2023
The case for investing in Ukraine’s energy future
Atlantic Council, October 2023
With Congress in chaos, Europe can show the world how to unite and deliver for Ukraine
Atlantic Council, October 2023
Ukraine index: Tracking developments in the Ukraine war
Brookings Institution, October 2023
The European Union is ready for the 2023-24 winter gas season
Bruegel, October 2023
Europe’s support for Ukraine cannot waver
Carnegie Europe, October 2023
The Polish-Ukrainian bond is here to stay
Carnegie Europe, October 2023
Ukraine remains top of NATO’s growing list of priorities
Chatham House, October 2023
After Putin, the deluge?
Clingendael, October 2023
Sustain and prosper: How Europeans can support Ukraine
European Council on Foreign Relations, October 2023
Why Americans will eventually sour on the war on Ukraine (but not soon)
European Council on Foreign Relations, October 2023
Ukraine-EU neighbours grain dispute update 3: Joint control system to replace import bans and new escalation
European Policy Centre, October 2023
EU enlargement in wartime Europe: Three dimensions and scenarios
Finnish Institute of International Affairs, October 2023
A US-Germany-Poland leadership coalition for Ukraine
German Marshall Fund, October 2023
Europe’s Ukraine contributions reveal a reliable partnership with the United States
German Marshall Fund, October 2023
Europe’s broken order and the prospect of a new Cold War
International Centre for Defence and Security, October 2023
Ukraine aid: Congress’ failure of U.S. foreign policy leadership
Institute for the Study of War, October 2023
Weakness is lethal: Why Putin invaded Ukraine and how the war must end
Institute for the Study of War, October 2023
‘We will conquer the motherland’: How Russian nationalists in exile
legitimise their fight against Putin’s regime
Institute of International Relations Prague, October 2023
The war in Ukraine and the global dimension of China-MENA relations
Istituto per gli Studi di Politica Internazionale, October 2023
Romanian-Ukrainian relations intensify
Polish Institute of International Affairs, October 2023
Russia sees opportunity in Israel-Hamas war
Polish Institute of International Affairs, October 2023
The Black Sea and the changing face of naval warfare
Rand Corporation, October 2023
Negotiating with Russia is still a bad idea
Rand Corporation, October 2023
F-16s are no magic bullet for Ukraine, but they are a game changer with the right munitions
Rand Corporation, October 2023
Rightsizing the Russia threat
Rand Corporation, October 2023
EU economic assistance to Ukraine after the full-scale Russian invasion: Scope, impact and ways for improvement
Stockholm Centre for Eastern European Studies, October 2023
Is there an alternative to liberating Crimea from the Russian occupation?
Ukrainian Prism, October 2023
EU, NATO and Ukraine: Dream team or a triangle?
Ukrainian Prism, October 2023
Ukraine’s drone army is bringing Putin’s invasion home to Russia
Atlantic Council, September 2023
Towards a two-phase US strategy for Ukraine
Brookings Institution, September 2023
European Union grain imports from Ukraine: The right decision and a cynical rebellion
Bruegel, September 2023
Germany’s missing Russia strategy
Carnegie Europe, September 2023
Making up for lost time: Germany in the era of the Zeitenwende
Centre for Eastern Studies, September 2023
The evolution of the EU’s perception towards Ukraine
Center for European Integration Studies, September 2023
The potential impact of Ukrainian accession on the EU’s budget
Centre for European Policy Studies, September 2023
State of the Union: From Putin’s war to a trade war?
Centre for European Reform, September 2023
The consequences of Russia’s war on Ukraine for climate action, food supply and energy security
Chatham House, September 2023
The EU and Ukraine policy brief: Towards a new security and defence relationship
Clingendael, September 2023
What Ukraine needs to win the war against Russia
Council on Foreign Relation, September 2023
How much aid has the U.S. sent Ukraine? Here are six charts
Council on Foreign Relation, September 2023
The fate of justice in Russia-Ukraine peace talks
Council on Foreign Relation, September 2023
The EU and Ukraine
Clingendael, September 2023
All-weather allies: Ukraine’s counteroffensive and the coming winter
European Council on Foreign Relations, September 2023
Choix difficile: Dialoguer ou non
Fondation Robert Schuman, September 2023
Scars on their souls: PTSD and veterans of Ukraine
GLOBSEC, September 2023
The Russian imperial movement, the war in Ukraine and the future of Russian state
International Centre for Counter-Terrorism, September 2023
La fin d’une parenthèse heureuse: Comment la guerre d’Ukraine contraint l’Allemagne à repenser son modèle
Institut français des relations internationales, September 2023
The impact of the war in Ukraine on the European defence market
Institut de Relations Internationales et Stratégiques, September 2023
Ukraine facility: EU takes up new carrot-and-stick instrument
Polish Institute of International Affairs, September 2023
Understanding the risk of escalation in the war in Ukraine
Rand Corporation, September 2023
Landmines in Ukraine: Lessons for China and Taiwan
Rand Corporation, September 2023
Poland and Ukraine: Defending Europe’s future
Rand Corporation, September 2023
Ukraine: From war to peace and recovery
Razumkov Centre, September 2023
When temporary protection ends: Longer-term solutions for refugees from Ukraine
Swedish Institute for European Policy Studies, September 2023
Ukraine: The next 10 months can shape hopes for peace
United States Institute for Peace, September 2023
Economic growth for post-war Ukraine
Vox Ukraine, September 2023
Read this briefing on ‘Latest on Russia’s war on Ukraine‘ in the Think Tank pages of the European Parliament.
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