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Written by Marcin Grajewski.
Russian President Vladimir Putin used his speech at the annual Victory Day over Nazi Germany, on 9 May, to mobilise support among the country’s citizens for its 11-week-old war on Ukraine, claiming that Moscow had to defend itself against imminent attack. Recently, Russia has shifted its military efforts towards the east and south-east of Ukraine, as well as to the bombing of critical infrastructure, after it failed to capture Kyiv, the capital. In some areas abandoned by the Russian forces, Ukrainian troops and journalists found many dead civilians and other evidence of war crimes. The United States and European Union countries have increased military aid to Ukraine. Finland and Sweden are to apply for membership of the NATO military alliance. Russia has cut gas deliveries to Bulgaria and Poland, escalating its conflict with the EU, which in turn is pondering an embargo on imports of Russian energy to deprive Moscow of funds needed to finance the war, on top of a wide range of existing sanctions.
This note gathers links to the recent publications and commentaries from many international think tanks on Russia’s war on Ukraine, its implications for the two countries, for the European Union and for the world. Earlier analyses of the implications of the war can be found in a previous edition of the ‘What Think Tanks are Thinking’ series.
Will Putin use nuclear weapons in Ukraine?
Atlantic Council, May 2022
A tariff on imports of fossil fuel from Russia
Bruegel, May 2022
A phase out of Russian oil may be less effective than a tariff at reducing Putin’s rents
Bruegel, May 2022
Marking the first Europe Day of the Brave New World
Centre for European Policy Studies, May 2022
European Union prepares to ban Russian oil
Center for Strategic and International Studies, May 2022
NATO and the south after Ukraine
Center for Strategic and International Studies, May 2022
Putin’s Eurasian dream may soon become a nightmare
Chatham House, May 2022
Putin’s long game in Ukraine: The Kremlin perspective
Council on Foreign Relations, May 2022
Inside the Russian geopolitical mind: Pseudo-justifications behind the war in Ukraine
European Council on Foreign Relations, May 2022
Stop feeding the bear: The case for a smart embargo on Putin’s oil and gas
Jacques Delors Institute, May 2022
Russia’s war on Ukraine: A sanctions timeline
Peterson Institute for International Economics, May 2022
Impact of the war in Ukraine on the debate on the future of agriculture in the EU
Polish Institute of International Affairs, May 2022
Ukraine’s great need for heavy artillery
Polish Institute of International Affairs, May 2022
Climbing the ladder: How the West can manage escalation in Ukraine and beyond
Atlantic Council, April 2022
The EU’s plans to replace Russian gas: Aspiration and reality
Atlantic Council, April 2022
Biden should deploy ‘great arsenal of democracy’ to defend Ukraine
Atlantic Council, April 2022
Putin’s unholy war
Atlantic Council, April 2022
Cutting Putin’s energy rent: ‘Smart sanctioning’ Russian oil and gas
Bruegel, April 2022
EU risks letting Putin’s gas divide-and-rule strategy win
Bruegel, April 2022
Repurposing the peace dividend
Bruegel, April 2022
A sanctions counter measure: Gas payments to Russia in rubles
Bruegel, April 2022
The European Union should sanction Sberbank and other Russian banks
Bruegel, April 2022
The decoupling of Russia: European vulnerabilities in the high-tech sector
Bruegel, April 2022
Cutting Putin’s energy rent: ‘Smart sanctioning’ Russian oil and gas
Bruegel, April 2022
Bold European Union action is needed to support Ukrainian refugees
Bruegel, April 2022
The EU without Russian oil and gas
Bruegel, April 2022
War on Ukraine: The day after
Bruegel, April 2022
Early Warning Brief: China’s contorted response to Russia sanctions
Bruegel, April 2022
How Russia benefits from ill-informed social media policies
Brookings Institution, April 2022
Putin just tested a new long-range missile. What does that mean?
Brookings Institution, April 2022
Germany has a special responsibility to stop Putin’s evil
Brookings Institution, April 2022
Terror, pacification, occupation: Russia’s actions in the occupied territories of Ukraine
Centre for Eastern Studies, April 2022
China’s challenges in the Indo-Pacific in the shadow of Russian aggression against Ukraine
Centre for Eastern Studies, April 2022
To make Moscow truly suffer, the sanctions screw must be tightened even further
Centre for European Policy Studies, April 2022
Opinion on Ukraine’s application for membership of the European Union
Centre for European Policy Studies, April 2022
Low-carbon technologies and Russian imports
Centre for European Policy Studies, April 2022
Russia’s war in Ukraine identity, history, and conflict
Centre for Strategic and International Studies, April 2022
How Ukraine will change Europe’s Indo-Pacific ambitions
Chatham House, April 2022
Saving Ukraine’s art and soul
Chatham House, April 2022
Ensuring Ukraine prevails is now the only moral choice
Chatham House, April 2022
Ukraine: Xi may come to rue his ties with Putin
Chatham House, April 2022
Global conflict tracker
Council on Foreign Relations, April 2022
Ukraine: Conflict at the crossroads of Europe and Russia
Council on Foreign Relations, April 2022
Can Russia be held accountable for war crimes in Ukraine?
Council on Foreign Relations, April 2022
Does Orban’s victory in Hungary change the EU’s calculus on Russia?
Council on Foreign Relations, April 2022
How Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will impact Africa’s energy transition
Council on Foreign Relations, April 2022
The world order holds, for now
Egmont, April 2022
Tanks versus banks: Russian military versus EU geo-economic power
Egmont, April 2022
The exaggerated death of European sovereignty
European Council on Foreign Relations, April 2022
Why advanced weapons can help Ukraine defeat Russia
European Council on Foreign Relations, April 2022
Ukraine: Time for the West to prepare for the long war
European Council on Foreign Relations, April 2022
Cold reality: How Europe is adjusting to China’s support for Putin
European Council on Foreign Relations, April 2022
Laws against slaughter: The crimes that shape Russia’s war on Ukraine
European Council on Foreign Relations, April 2022
War has returned to Europe: Three reasons why the EU did not see it coming
European Policy Centre, April 2022
Look at the war through Ukrainian eyes
European Policy Centre, April 2022
Wake up, EU! We are at war
European Policy Centre, April 2022
The EU should not turn a blind eye to Putinist methods at home
European Policy Centre, April 2022
The moral cost of ‘social peace’ in Germany
European Policy Centre, April 2022
Europe after Putin’s war: EU Foreign and Defence Policy in the new European security architecture
Hellenic Foundation for European and Foreign Policy, April 2022
Welcoming Ukrainian refugees in the EU: Preliminary insights on socio-economic consequences
Jacques Delors Institute, April 2022
Which countries help Ukraine and how? Introducing the Ukraine Support Tracker
Institut für Weltwirtschaft Kiel, April 2022
Investigation of Russia’s crimes in Ukraine: A turning point for the International Criminal Court?
Institute for National Security Studies, April 2022
The weaponisation of finance and the risk of global economic fragmentation
Istituto Affari Internazionali, April 2022
The war in Ukraine and studying the EU as a security actor
Istituto Affari Internazionali, April 2022
Ukraine: Putin’s war to change the world
Institut Montaigne, April 2020
From Sarajevo to Mariupol: What the Yugoslav wars can teach us about Ukraine’s fate
Institut Montaigne, April 2020
The Ukraine crisis: Women are fighting a different kind of war
Observer Research Foundation, April 2022
Fiscal support and monetary vigilance: Economic policy implications of the Russia-Ukraine war for the European Union
Peterson Institute for International Politics, April 2022
The United States should seize Russian assets for Ukraine’s reconstruction
Peterson Institute for International Politics, April 2022
Ukraine’s wartime information strategy
Polish Institute of International Affairs, April 2022
Franco-Russian economic relations in the face of the war in Ukraine
Polish Institute of International Affairs, April 2022
Failing to deter Russia’s war against Ukraine: The role of misperceptions
Polish Institute of International Affairs, April 2022
Maintaining mobility for those fleeing the war in Ukraine
Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, April 2022
Ukraine: The dangers in Russia’s new offensive
United States Institute for Peace, April 2022
Russia-Ukraine: A negotiated settlement will be difficult
Brookings Institution, March 2022
Phasing out Russian gas, UK-EU relations and Hungary’s response to the war
Centre for European Reform, March 2022
Can the West stay united on Ukraine, and what will China do?
Centre for European Reform, March 2022
Europe must stop paying for Russia’s war
Centre for European Reform, March 2022
Russia’s assault on Ukraine and European security
Centre for European Reform, March 2022
Russia may ditch the dollar, but it needs the euro
Centre for European Reform, March 2022
Ukraine: Is a chemical or biological attack likely?
Chatham House, March 2022
Lessons from the Ukrainian cyber front
European Policy Centre, March 2022
Vladimir Putin’s political and strategic failure
Groupe de recherche et d’information sur la paix, March 2022
Russia’s war is Europe’s moment to defend democracy and world stability
Peterson Institute for International Economics, March 2022
Read the complete briefing on ‘The latest on Russia’s war on Ukraine‘ in the Think Tank pages of the European Parliament.
[…] conflict on Ukraine. Earlier analyses of the implications of the conflict may be present in a earlier version of the ‘What Assume Tanks are Considering’ […]
[…] on Russia’s war on Ukraine. Earlier analyses of the implications of the war can be found in a previous edition of the ‘What Think Tanks are Thinking’ […]